THE HISTORICAL MACROSOCIOLOGY:

FORMATION, FUNDAMENTAL AREAS OF RESEARCH AND TYPES OF MODELS

 

Nikolai S. Rozov

 

In: Sociology: History, Theory, and Practices. Vol.10. Bridging the World Together.

Moscow. Institute of Socio-Political Research. RAS. 2009. P.24-35.

 

Status and purpose of the macrosociology

Historical macrosociology is an interdisciplinary area for research the mechanisms and patterns of large and long-term historical processes and phenomena (such as the genesis, evolution, transformation, decay and collapse of societies, states, world-systems and civilizations) by means of objective methods of social sciences.

The substantive field of historical macrosociology (hereinafter, simply - macrosociology) practically coincides with the universal (global, world) history, but macrosociology uses more actively approaches and methodological tools of theoretical history (building and testing of relatively strong explanatory theories of historical events [Rozov 2002]).

Macrosociology answers the traditional questions of philosophy of history on the structure, dynamics and course of šhistory, not on the philosophical level, but on scientific and theoretical one. Macrosociology takes research methods and tools from a broad spectrum of social sciences: sociology, political science (especially comparative), geopolitics, crosscultural studies, economic history, ethnology, historical demography, etc.

 

A brief overview of the history of discipline

What are the origins of macrosociology? šwhere, generally speaking, it appeared?

Strange as it may seem, initially sociology was born and developed as a macrosociology. Auguste Conte, Karl Marx, John Stuart Mill, Ferdinand Tennis, Herbert Spencer, Emile Durkheim, Max Weber were concerned primarily with macrosociological issues: they formulated laws and defined stages of historical progress, of development and change of social formations, they described and studied principal types of šsocieties, cultures and civilizations.

At that time the scientific methodology of sociology has not yet been developed. Many abstract ontological, epistemological and axiological issues were discussed. That’s why the work of these authors may be equally regarded as the socio-philosophical or belonging to philosophy of history.

In the 20-th century sociology has become more narrow, empirical, methodically sophisticated, focused on the empirical study of group and individual segments of the society. It šlargely lost interest for the great historical processes. That is the tradition that we know well in the standard sociological journals and educational programs.

At the same time, quite a lot of talented scientists continued macrosociological research, typically undervalued by contemporaries (P.Sorokin, K.Polanyi, J.Schumpeter, L.White, N.Elias, N.Luman, P.Baran, B.Moore). They have received great attention in the last third of 20-th century.

Since the 1970's the historical sociology appeared as an autonomous discipline with self-identity [Tilly 1978, 2000]. Macrosociology began to revive quite rapidly [Amin 1976; Anderson 1974; Bendix 1978; Brenner 1976; Carneiro 1970a, 1970b; Claessen 1978; Collins 1986; Gellner 1988; Harris 1977; Headrick 1981; Kennedy 1987; McNeill 1979,1982; Melko, Scott 1987; Modelski 1987; Skocpol 1979; Tainter 1988; Tilly 1984, 1992; Wallerstein 1974, 1980; Wolf 1982; et al.].

Since early 1990-s macrosociology started institutionalization šfirst in US universities as a branch of sociology. Since then it has been steadily spreading from the English-speaking academic world, as well as in Holland, Germany, France, Italy, Scandinavian countries, under various names, branching from sociology, world history, geopolitics, political and economic geography, geo-economic, cross-cultural, civilizational studies, etc. The first handbook «Macrosociology» [Sanderson 1995a] has withstood numerous editions, but the training in best universities is based mostly on modern monographic research.

 

The main directions of macrosociological research

An important milestone was a book on macrosociology by Randall Collins Macrohistory: Essays in Sociology of the Long Run [Collins 1999], who brought together many seemingly disparate areas of research in the introduction called «The Golden Age of Macrohistorical Sociology», revealed their common grounds and the reasons of their flourishing and expanding. The most advanced theoretical areas are:

a study of military-centered development of modern states [McNeill 1982; Mann 1987, 1993; Tilly 1992]

a comparative study of social revolutions and the state decays, the collapse of empires [Skocpol 1979; Tainter 1988; Goldstone 1991]

analysis of world-systems [Wallerstein 1974, 1989; Amin 1976; Gills, Frank 1991; Chase-Dunn, Hall 1997; Abu-Lughod 1989; Arrighi 1994]

study of the geopolitical dynamics of long cycles of hegemony [Collins 1986, 1995; Kennedy 1987; Modelski 1987].

R. Collins adds also the following šareas of macrosociological research:

comparative-historical study of family relations (Laslett P., J.Goody)

• Study the evolution of cultural norms, «civilizing manners» (N. Elias, J.Goudsblom, J.Mennel]),

macrohistory of diseases and environment (W.McNeill, A.Crosby)

macrosociological comparison in the history of arts (A. Hauser, A. Malrough)

social and comparative history of gender, sexuality, material culture.

The Collins’sš list should be added by some more research areas:

• ‘Big History which encompasses concepts of stars evolution, evolution of the Solar system, Earth's history, biological evolution, human origins and traditional human history [Spier 1996, cf.: Anatomy of Crisis 1999]

• rapidly growing area of study of social evolution, comparative anthropology and ethnology, which works closely with comparative archeology whith frequent breaks to valuable macrosociological generalizations; first of all brilliant studies by Robert Carneiro with his truly macrosociological theory of origin of the state [Carneiro 1970a; 1988] and conception of šcomplexity level identified by means of multiple operation creiteria – ‘features [Carneiro 1970b], the original books of Jared Diamond, reviving in a new level of geographic determinism, connecting ecological and social factors of macrohistorical transformations [Diamond 1997, 2006], as well as E. Gellner, H. Klaessen, H. Lensky, M. Salins, E. Service , M. Fried, M. Harris,. T. Earl [Gellner 1988; Claessen 1978; Harris 1977; et al. ;]

• ongoing (albeit without the earlier ambitions, which were typical for O. Spengler, A. Toynbee, P. Sorokin, A. Kroeber, F. Bagby. etc.) comparative study of civilizations [Melko, Scott 1987]

large-scale comparative studies of technological exchange and diffusion in the context of international politics [Bulliet 1975; Headrick 1981, 1991; Pacey 1990; Ralston 1990]

• comparative and generalizing studies of cross-cultural trade, the emergence and the eradication of slavery and the slave trade, colonial relations, the effects of Westernization and industrialization in different parts of the world [Adas 1989; Chaudhuri 1990; Curtin 1984; Stinchcombe 1995; Tracey 1991; Wolf 1982],

comparative studies of democratic transit (see below), etc.

In the field of political sciences the comparative political studies are closest to macrosociology because of similar general orientation and methodology, it is successfully developing field which gives many of new non-trivial results. The šcomparative political science almost always appeales to a broader historical, social, economic, cultural, geographical and other aspects. It truly can be considered as the intersection of political science and historical macrosociology, both the most advanced and promising area of research.

Along with a comparative study of revolutions, the genesis, transformation and disintegration of states (see above), a vast and rapidly growing area of research is a comparative analysis of democratic transit, with both šsuccesses and failure, roll back to authoritarianism, various modes of simulation of democracy, etc. [Karl, Shmitter 1993, Lipset and others 1993; Przeworski 1988; Rastow 1996; Di Palma 1990; Collins 1999; Huntington 1991].

 

Historical macrosociology in Russia

Soviet Sociology, which revived since 1960-ies., followed the Western mainstream, mainly the most advanced American sociology, with its traditional attention to the polls, analysis of public opinion, etc. Macrosociological issues remained taboo because they were totally monopolized by one of the main ideological disciplines - «historical materialism» ( «istmat»). It seems that this birth trauma is still actual, because Russian sociologists aw mostly indifferent to the analysis of large social processes, they do not even consider such research as «truly scientific sociology »in spite of the translations of classical macrosociological works by P. Sorokin, N. Elias, N. Luhman, K. Polanyi, J. Schumpeter, new excellent books such as Sociology of philosophies by R.Collins and The Long Twentieth Century by J.Arrighi.

Macrosociology in Russia is not yet legitimate, not to mention institutionalization, largely because of ignorance, indifference and social exclusion.

It is equally deplorable situation in the other potential maternal discipline - history. Russian historical science has its own trauma associated with the emancipation from the long boring Marxism, that’s why the major themes of historical shifts and transformations, šthe problem of identifying the objective regularities are ignored now by almost all Russian historians. They enjoy a purely empirical, narrow archival research without unnecessary theoretical punditry or feel «the joy of recognition», while theirs local materials show something like some imported fashionable (usually French or German) concepts. There some attempts to assimilate the achievements of social sciences in order to subordinate them to historiography, with unconcealed antitheoretical attitude (B.Mogilnitsky šet al.). Only a few historians of older generation (Igor Diakonov, on which see below, as well as E.Kulpin, V.Chubarov, V.Ilyushechkin, Yu.Berezkin et al.]) allow themselves vast generalizations, broad comparative and theoretical analysis. A rather small circle of middle generation [B.Mironov, N.Kradin; A.Korotaev, S.Nefedov, an American-Russian author P.Turchin) proceed this line.

The rising generation of Russian historians sometimes demonstrate vivid šinterest in historical macrosociology, but the real breakthrough, the emergence of a series of striking new works is to be expected only after a radical update of current backward «methodology of history» courses. Young researchers should possess not only an arsenal of modern methods and tools of mathematical and theoretical history but also theoretical and macrosociological style of thinking.

So, for many reasons macrosociology in Russia is very far from the recognition and institutionalization, it is still browsing between geopolitics, the social and economic history, social philosophy and philosophy of history, political science and political philosophy.

At the same time, in post-Soviet Russia, despite the discrediting of Marxism and «istmat» (largely ideological and superficial) some researchers (as a rule, with the philosophical, historical and humanitarian background) proceed to examine major socio-historical processes. Since 1990's. began to appear almanacs and journals with translations ( «THESIS», «Civilization», «Time of Peace», «Logos», «Kosmopolis»., «Prognozis», «History and Mathematics», etc.) with a lot of material devoted to macrosociological issues, albeit under different names.

Most domestic authors (A. Akhiezer, IA Gobozov, VS Golubev, AL Zhdanko AP Nazaretian, G. S. Pomeranz, S. Semenov, Yu.V. Yakovets and others) are working on the philosophical, purely conceptual, and even scholastic level, without distinct formulation and testing of theoretical propositions, not to mention the systematic analysis of historical data.

Against this background is the book written by the historian-orientalist Igor Diakonoff Paths of History [Diakonoff 1999]. Despite its historical identity, Diakonov wrote quite macrosociological work with clear scheme of phases of social development, criteria for their distinction, the mechanisms and patterns of transitions from phase to phase, etc. The book was translated into English, it is one of a very few present-day Russian works in humanities that is studied at Western universities.

There are also promising results of a theoretical study and mathematical modeling of the historical dynamics and social evolution (the almanac History and Mathematics in Russian and one in English). This area was designated as «cliodynamics». In fact - it is nothing else than the application of mathematical modeling and statistical analysis within the same historical macrosociology.

Someš Russian works on geo-economics, comparative economic history of world analysis, and the modernization theory stand alone (Gaidar, Khoros, etc.] Here we see the šfocus on empirical data, attention to contemporary discussions of world science, the political and cultural context of economic development. However, there is still no original bright «breakthrough» research, maybe because of supererogatory piety towards the western authorities, combined with the cowardice of own comparative-historical research.

There are some valuable works in comparison of the regional political dynamics (S.Ryzhenkov, V.Gelman) and šcomparative ethnopolitical studies (E.Payin).

Theoretical and methodological branch of macrosociology develops from the mid 1990's in Novosibirsk (after the author of these lines worked at the Center Ferand Braudel, under the leadership of I. Wallerstein). Professionals in Russia know three issues of magazine Vremia Mira (The World Time, Le Temps du Monde) [Vremia Mira 2000; The Structure of History 2002, War and Geopolitics 2003]). Wide range of methodological, theoretical and empirical macrosociological issues are discussed in a series of collective monographs Theoretical History and macrosociology ([Razrabotka I aprobatsia … 2001; Macrodynamics ... 2002]. Research of philosophical and conceptual basis of historical macrosociology, an detailed arsenal of methods, tools, and theoretical models are publish in monographs and handbook [Rozov 1992, 2002, 2009].

 

Historical macrosociology and the revival of theoretical thinking

In conclusion let me present some desirable prospects for a historic macrosociology in the broader world-wide and Russian intellectual context.

Social and human cognition evolves over 120 years within a constant frame of so called ‘dispute about method’ (Methodenstreit). An apparent disappointment in the systemic, structuralist, mathematical and numerical methods of the last decades have led to domination of idiographical, antiscientist mood. The most famous in this field is postmodernism. This trend includes not only aggressive attacks against ‘obsolete Enlightenment ideas’š but also special research attention to «cases», «interpretations», «deconstruction».

The Russian Perestroika led to the ignominious conclusion of the era of dogmatic unification of all the socio-historical knowledge under monoideology of Soviet Marxism and «historical materialism». Now, almost all Russian historians and social scientists share the counter-theoretical consensus, where laziness and lack of will to know behind stereotyped blaming of «outdated scientific truth», «objectivism», «positive», «scientism», «primitive empiricism» etc. That mentality is precisely the form of tired cynicism, replacing the old dogmatic era.

The rapid and successful development of historical macrosociology («Golden Age» according to R.Collins) has already led to a convincing enhance of new nomothetics i.e. construction of explanatory theories on the basis of systematic comparative-historical analysis, taking into account complexity and specificity of socio-historical reality.

As soon as appears a number of original Russian (and that is important - receiving foreign recognition) macrosociological research, young scientists will receive a meaningful alternative to the use of their talents. It will be a good chance of revival of theoretical thinking among Russian historians and social scientists, and the Russian science in these areas will emerge from a permanent unfortunate peripherality to one of the major world centers of intellectual networks.

 

 

 

References

Abu-Lughod, Janet, Before European Hegemony. The World System A.D. 1250-1350. N.-Y. Oxford University Press, 1989.

Adas, Michael. Machines as the Measure of Men: Science, Technology, and Ideologies of Western Dominance. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell Univ. Press, 1989.

Amin, Samir. Unequal Development. N.Y. Monthly Review Press, 1976.

Anderson, Perry. Passages from Antiquity to Feudalism. L., New Left Books. 1974.

Arrighi, Giovanni. The Long Twentieth Century: Money, Power, and the Origins of Our Times. 1994.

Baran, Paul.The Political Economy of Growth. N.-Y. 1957.

Bendix, Reinhard. Kings or People: Power and the Mandate to Rule. Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press, 1978.

Brenner, Robert. Agrarian Class Structure and Economic Development in the Pre-Industrial Europe // Past and Present. No.70, February, 1976. P. 30-75.

Bulliet, Richard W. The Camel and the Wheel. Cambridge, Mass. Harvard Univ. Press, 1975.

Carneiro, 1970a: Carneiro, Robert. A Theory of the Origin of the State // Science. 1970. Vol. 169. P.733 - 738.

Carneiro, 1970b: Carneiro, Robert. Scale Analysis, Evolutionary Sequences, and the Rating of Cultures // A Handbook in Cultural Anthropology / Ed. by Naroll, Raoul and Ronald Cohen. NY: Natural History Press, Garden City, 1970. P. 834 – 871.

Carneiro, Robert. The Circumscription Theory: Challenge and Response // American Behavioral Scientist. 1988. ¹ 31. P.497 - 511.

Chase-Dunn C., Hall T. Rise and Demise: Comparing World-Systems. HarpeCollins, Westview Press, 1997.

Chaudhuri, Asia before Europe: Economy and Civilization of the Indian Ocean from the Rise of Islam to 1750. Cambridge, UK, Cambridge Univ. Press, 1990.

Claessen H. J. M., P. Skalnik (Eds.) The Early State. The Hague-Paris-New York, 1978.

Collins, Randall. Conflict Sociology. N.-Y., Academic Press, 1975.

Collins, Randall. Weberian sociological theory. NY: Cambridge Univ. Press, 1986.

Collins R. Macrohistory: Essays in Sociology of the Long Run. Stanford Univ. Press, 1999.

Crosby A.W. Ecological Imperialism: The Biological Expansion of Europe, 900-1900. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1986.

Di Palma G. To Craft Democracies: an Essay on Democratic Transitions. Berkeley. 1990.

Diakonoff, Igor M. Paths of History. Cambridge University Press, 1999.

Diamond, Jared. Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies. New York: W. W. Norton and Company, Inc. 1997.

Gellner, Ernest. Plough, Sword, and Book. The Structure of Human History. University of Chicago Press, 1988.

Goldstone, Jack. Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World. Berkeley: Univ. of California Press, 1991.

Goudsblom, Johan, Eric Jones, and Stephen Mennel. The Course of Human History: Economic Growth, Social Process, and Civilization. M.E.Sharp, 1996.

Huntington S. The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century. L. 1991.

Harris, Marvin. Cannibals and Kings: The Origins of Cultures. N.-Y., Random House, 1977.

Headrick, Daniel. The Tools of Empire: Technology and European Imperialism in the Nineteenth Century. N.Y. Oxford Univ. Press. 1981.

Headrick, Daniel. The Invisible Weapon: Telecommunications and International Politics, 1851-1945. N.Y. Oxford Univ. Press. 1991.

Kennedy, Paul. The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict from 1500 to 2000. N.-Y. Random House, 1987.

Macrodynamics. 2-nd issue of a series of collective monographs Theoretical History and Macrosociology (ed. Be Nikolai S.Rozov). Novosibirsk, Nauka, 2002 (in Russian).

Mann, Michael. The Sources of Social Power. Vol. I: A History of Power from the Beginning to A.D.1760, 1987. Vol. II: The Rise of Classes and Nation-States, 1760-1914. Cambridge Univ.Press, 1993.

McAdam D., S.Tarrow, Ch.Tilly. Dynamics of Contention. Cambridge Univ. Press. 2001.

McNeill, W. Plagues and Peoples. Harmondsworth, Penguin, 1979.

McNeill, William. The Pursuit of Power: Technology, Armed Force, and Society since AD 1000. Chicago: Univ. of Chicago Press, 1982.

Melko, Mattew, Scott L.. The Boundaries of Civilizations in Space and Time /Ed. M. Melko and L. Scott. Univ. Press of America, Inc.,1987.

Modelski, George. Exploring Long Cycles. Lynne Rienner Publ.,L.,1987.

Moore, Barrington. Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy. Boston: Beacon Press, 1966.

Nee, Victor and Peng Lian. Sleeping with Enemy: ADynamic Model of Declining Political Commitment in State Socialism // Theore and Society, 1994, 3. P.253-296.

Pacey, Arnold. Technology in World Civilization: A Thousand Year History. Oxford. Blackwell, 1990.

Przeworski A. 1988. Democracy as a Contingent Outcome of Conflicts. In: J. Elster, R. Slagestad (eds.). Constitutionalism and Democracy. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press. P. 59-80.

Ragin, Charles. The Comparative Method: Moving Beyond Qualitative and Quantitative Strategies. Berkeley, Univ. of California Press, 1987.

Ralston, David B. Importing the European Army: The Introduction of European Military Techniques intoš Extra-European World, 1600-1914. Chicago. Chicago Univ. Press, 1990.

Razrabotka i Aprobatsia Metoda Teoreticheskoi Istorii (The Development and Approbation of the Method of Theoretical History). 1-st issue of a series of collective monographs Theoretical History and Macrosociology (ed. Be Nikolai S.Rozov). Novosibirsk, Nauka, 2001 (in Russian).

Rozov, Nikolai S. The Structure of Civilization and the Trends of World Development. Novosibirsk State Univ. 1992.

Ibid. Philosophy and Theory of History. The book 1. The Prolegomens. Moscow, 2002.

Ibid. Historical Macrosociology: Methodology and Methods. Novosibirsk State Univ. 2009.

Sanderson 1995a: Sanderson Stephen. Macrosociology. An Introduction to Human Societies. 3-d ed. HarperCollins College Publishers, 1995.

Sanderson 1995b:Sanderson, Stephen. Social Transformations: A General Theory of Historical Development. Blackwell, 1995.

Skocpol Th. States and Social Revolutions. New York: Cambridge Univ. Press, 1979.

Snooks Graeme. The Dynamic Society: Exploring the Sources of Global Change. L.-N.-Y., Routledge, 1996.

Social Mechanisms: An Analytical Approach to Social Theory (Ed. By P.Hedström and R.Swedberg) Cambridge Univ. Press, 1998.

Spier, Fred. The Structure of Big History. From the Big Bang until Today. Amsterdam. Univ. Press, 1996.

Stinchcombe, Arthur. Constructing Social Theories. The University of Chicago Press. Chicago and London. 1987.

Stinchcombe, Arthur. Sugar Island Slavery in the Age of Enlightment. The Political Economy of Caribbean World. Princeton Univ. Press, 1995.

Structury Istorii (The Structures of History). Vremia mira. Almanac for Modern Studies Theoretical History, Macrosociology, Geopolitics, Analysis ofš World-Systems and Civilizations. (ed. Be Nikolai S.Rozov). Issue 2. Novosibirsk 2002 (in Russian).

Tainter, Joseph. The Collapse of Complex Societies. Cambridge & N.-Y.: Cambridge Univ. Press, 1988.

Tilly, Charles. From Mobilization to Revolution. DReading, Mass. Adison-Wesley, 1978.

Tilly, Ch. Big Structures, Large Processes, Huge Comparisons. New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1984.

Tilly, Ch. Coercion, Capital, and European States, AD 990-1990. Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1992.

Tracey, James D. (Ed.) The Political Economy of Merchant Empires: State Power and World Trade, 1350-1750. Cambridge, 1991.

Turchin, Peter. War and Peace and War.The Rise and Fall of Empires. Plume Book, 2007.

Voina I Geopolitika (War and Geopolitics) ‘Vremia mira. Almanac for Modern Studies Theoretical History, Macrosociology, Geopolitics, Analysis ofš World-Systems and Civilizations. (ed. Be Nikolai S.Rozov). Issue 3. Novosibirsk 2003 (in Russian).

Vremia Mira (The World Time). Almanac for Modern Studies Theoretical History, Macrosociology, Geopolitics, Analysis ofš World-Systems and Civilizations. (ed. Be Nikolai S.Rozov). Novosibirsk, 2000 (in Russian).

Walder, Andrew. The Decline of Communist Power: Elements of Theory of Institutional Change // Theory and Society, 1994, 23. P.297-324.

Wallerstein, Immanuel. The Modern World System I-III San Diego, CA: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1974-1980.

Wolf, Eric. Europe and the People without History. Berkeley: Univ. of California Press, 1982. š