THE MEANING OF HISTORY AS A TRIAL FOR HUMANITY:
PHILOSOPHICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR
GLOBAL MULTILEVEL LEGAL AND JUDICIAL SYSTEM

 

Nikolai S. Rozov

 

Published:

Problems of Contemporary World Futurology. Cambridge Scholars Publishing, 2011, pp.50-75.

 

But it seems not to have concerned Nature that man should live well, but only that he should work himself upward so as to make himself, through his own actions, worthy of life and of well-being. [...] The greatest problem for the human race, to the solution of which Nature drives man, is the achievement of a universal civic society which administers law among men.

Immanuel Kant

 

Philosophical approach in meditations about global future is adequate at least for three reasons. At first, the philosophy has always been and will likely remain an excellent critical weapon, a means for overcoming outdated, impeding development ideologies (although new ideologies are usually made up from old philosophical ideas that have become thought cliché). Secondly, the philosophy surpasses all other approaches in the breadth of vision, and namely the breadth is significant in today's conflictual world. Thirdly, as it will be shown later, the future does not exist, no positive science of anything non-existent is possible, all prognostic approaches have well known limitations, not to mention the fact that neither science nor prognostics are capable in general to provide own value and normative judgments. At the same time philosophy, which obtains a wide range of well elaborated, non-trivial ways of abstract reasoning, can and should advance significantly our thinking about global and national future.

 

Nonclassical Ontology of Time:
Future as ‘a Garden of Emerging Paths’

The physical picture of the world, especially, the idea of four dimensions, i.e. three-dimensional space and the fourth axis of time, played with us all a cruel joke. Spatial imagery is extremely powerful and suggestive. We envision a time axis stretching to the past (which is calculated in years and centuries) and to the future (again, calendars and annual marks in our plans reinforce this image). The real massive inertia of the entire human civilization and nature on the Earth, and of outer space convinces us further in pre-existence of the total temporal forward-looking vector which seems to be completely symmetric to the vector of the past. If we leave out the apocalyptic scenarios of nuclear war, a collision of the planet with a huge asteroid and universal destruction, etc., it is safe to predict that in 10, 50 and 100 years not only mountains, seas and deserts will continue to exist, but also cities, universities, research centers, churches, businesses and financial institutions, railways, communications, air and sea transport. If they all will be there in one form or another, it is quite possible to imagine (and we do imagine this!) that they already are there at the correspondent points in the forward-looking time axis.

Now consider an entirely different ontology of time. There is no axis going to the future (besides calendars, plans and projections that are made by people and exist in the present). Every moment of the present creates ranges of possibilities for all things, phenomena, and processes in the whole Universe. Much remains unchanged, but some possibilities connect with other ones, in the next time moment the configuration of things and events changes that immediately becomes covered with new possibilities, including those that could not previously appear (!) So, every moment of time is something like a garden of forking paths in Borges’s story, but the difference is that besides the next moment there is not yet any garden with paths. The paths themselves and their furkations are created by movement along them.

Accordingly to historical rhythms of stability and instability some opportunities of social world expand and other opportunities are narrowed down to extinction. In all these processes people are involved, from individuals to nations and state coalitions, but people rarely think about the invisible spectrum of possibilities, which are narrowed or expanded as unintended consequences of their actions and activities.

Not fixed but emerging future gives the meaning of a trial to our lives and to our history. Why does the meaning of history is a trial? For philosophical justification of this thesis we turn now to a thought experiment concerning the extreme limit of human existence, i.e. the end of history.

 

The Philosophy of Human Existence:
From the End of History to the Idea of Trial

Usually the meaning of history is treated by analogy with a meaning of some individual event which has a beginning and an end, while namely the end and results of this process form the picture. That is why the end of history is arbitrarily associated by religions and philosophies with values, metaphysical, theological, mystical or other characteristics that define in turn the desirable meaning of history. Even avoiding such kinds of attribution we should agree that the nature of the end of history (when and no matter how it will occur) largely determines its meaning.

Is it possible at all to make judgements about the real end of history (i.e. the complete disappearance of people) with any degree of credibility? This can be done, but only in two cases.

First, in absence of of extraterrestrial human colonies capable to exist fully autonomously, some natural processes can be detected (probably associated with evolution of the Sun, or internal physical dynamics in the structure of the Earth, or a trajectory of any celestial bodies, or cosmic radiation, etc.) that lead to occurrence of conditions excluding the very possibility of human existence on the Earth. All such opportunities fall under the category of the natural end of history.

Secondly, the onset of such conditions can be predicted if the processes leading to them are caused by some actions of people themselves (e.g., ‘nuclear winter’ after a series of nuclear strikes, or destruction of the atmosphere protective properties because of massive industrial emissions). Thus, there is talking about an artificial, or man-made, end of history[1].

Let us see what can be said about the meaning of human history in the first case[2]. Imagine, there are no people, all human civilization is destroyed. It is possible to reconstruct apriori that one or another of the three main possibilities has been occurred before this global collapse:

1) a global catastrophe overtook the planet of a sudden for people;

2) people knew for some time of impending catastrophe, they started to do something to save humanity but it was too late;

3) it was known long before of impending catastrophe, people managed to create everything they could invent for salvation, but to no avail.

Extreme points (1 and 3) are pure forms, they refer primarily to the lack of intellectual (cognitive and creative) abilities of people: in the first case people failed to foresee the catastrophe, in the third case they could not devise a reliable way for salvation. The point (2) is a mixed form: people failed to anticipate the catastrophe in advance; they could not invent in a short time an achievable way of salvation; they could not provide enough material and organizational capacity in order to have time to avoid full extermination.

Now consider the case of a man-made catastrophe. The most prominent are “the nuclear winter’ which is unavoidable after a sufficiently long series of powerful nuclear strikes, and the destruction of the protective properties of the atmosphere because of industrial emissions. Such events occur when people are not able to foresee the disastrous consequences of their actions, or they are not able to stop these actions, knowing these consequences. Besides the same cognitive abilities of foresight, here there is a question of abilities to negotiate, to convince, to come to mutually acceptable agreements for avoiding disaster, and for establishing effective control over the implementation of the reached agreements. Along with the importance of diplomatic skills (in the broadest sense), moral components, organizational and coercive powers of control, an intellectual creativity also plays a key role here, because it lets invent a version of agreements which allow parties to refrain from dangerous actions and which are acceptable from the standpoint of their interests.

Let us note the similarities of all the options considered. Everywhere in the foreground are the intellectual (cognitive and creative) people's abilities for long-term prognosis and diagnosis of various hazards to the human condition, for invention of ways and means of salvation. Under the terms of the task (the real end of history) these abilities were inadequate in each case. What are the hidden premises of this simple judgment?

Human abilities proved to be insufficient in this case, since if they would have been sufficient then humanity managed to survive (even if not all of humanity, but part of it able to reproduce, and then the end of history would not come). There is nothing artificial in assigning an attribute of failure to a version of global human extermination and in assigning success to salvation and recovery. Thus, we obtain the following conceptual construction: if due to the accumulated abilities something is managed to be done it leads to a successful result, if not, the failure occurs.

Now it becomes obvious that this design is fully consistent with the notion of a trial. Note that we have not assigned the concept of trial to the end of history apriori and voluntarily. We have accomplished the thought experiment, scrutinized main possible variants, revealed general features and hidden premises and we have come to the following conclusion: the real end of history (the cessation of existence of all humanity) in any case can come as a result of human failure in some cricual trial[3].

The thought experiment highlights significance of protection of basic conditions for human existence; the correspondent responsibility always takes place implicitly and becomes explicit when real dangers are seen. If the trial is so important in imaginable extreme situation why not to think that other various trials also take palce in our life both implicitly and explicitly?

What is it possible to say about the role of trials in social and historical reality? The ontology of time built above helps us to answer such questions.

 

Fundamental Social Processes:
Construction, Taking Shape (Emerging), and Trial

The present makes its way into future ‘emptiness’ forming in every moment a new range of possibilities, moving forward and transforming into a new present only through implementation of some possibilities and ignoring (and sometimes eliminating) other ones.

People have long been rather skillful in operating these possibilities in artificial construction processes when all tools and resources are visible and fully controlled. In order to transform a draft of a house into a real one, in order to build a real railway drawn on the map across the mountains and rivers, in order to give flesh to compicate designs of ocean liner or spaceship, etc. builders consistently perform well-known series of actions, in each phase creating precisely those possibilities realization of which promotes the construction along the planned track.

In societies, especially in international relations the “natural” processes of emerging (taking shape, turning out, forming, developing) dominate. Here there is no centralized effective control over production and realization of possibilities. Large and small groups with various resources control only rather narrow sectors of possibilities, usually competing and conflicting with each other that results in ‘natural’ processes of forming, or taking shape. All histories are written quite rightly in the paradigm of emerging and forming. We try to predict, to forecast those events that we cannot design and build, i.e. results of emerging.

If construction is ‘artificial’ and emerging is “natural”, then the processes of trial are hybrid. A trial is on the one hand an attempt to succeed, to achieve a goal, to implement the conceived idea or a project. On the other hand, in contrast to construction, those who pass a trial have not complete control over basic resources and conditions. Circumstances will take shape this or that way. Therefore, the trial can lead to success, to some middle result or to failure.

Usually we talk only about institutionalized trials, or tests, in very narrow ranges: in sport, in new technology, in education. But we can open eyes to a much wider applicability of this category.

Each time when a man and a woman decide to get married, they try somehow to design and construct their relations, their living togeather and new family in order to achieve welfare and happiness. Alas, not all couples pass this test successfully as evidenced by a lot of divorces and unhappy families.

Each city is to some extent planned. However, some cities are becoming very attractive, beautiful, clean, safe and comfortable, people want to settle down here, and tourists from all over the world come. At the same time, other cities suffer from smog, dust, traffic congestion, poverty and crime. Is it not possible to say that some urban planners, city officials, ‘city fathers’ have stood the test with flying colors, while others failed it miserably?

On one hand, each society mainly emerges and takes shape for many decades and even centuries. On the other hand, history of major political leaders, constitutions, legal codes, reform projects, etc. consistently shows attempts to construct something. Therefore, qualities of a given society are always a result of permanent trials. It is both possible to succeed or not to succeed in social construction attempts within forming circumstances[4].

How do we all live on the planet Earth? How will live here our children and grandchildren? There are no fundamental obstacles (other than long-standing habits of thought), to extend the category of trial for the global international community. Will the human race manage to arrange life on the planet in a decent and not shameful way? Moreover, what exactly is the trial for humanity, apart from the evident task of self-protection and prevailing dangers? How to get an idea for this additional content of a global historical trial, i.e. the real meaning of history?

Along with the challenge to save the human race from natural or artificial extermination there has to be some kind of global trial for a positive achievement. Here we come to the fundamental problems of classical ethics. Is there some general moral meaning of human history? What does deserve to strive in a global scale, not for a separate individual or a group, but for all nations and mankind as a whole? What is Good?

 

Difficulties of Common Moral Judgments

Ethical systems claiming to universality are numerous, but none of them has found universal acceptance. Perhaps the closest to this goal is the UN Declaration of Human Rights. Its norms are far from ubiquitous obeyance, but almost nobody openly criticizes them. The reasons for this success are not accidental. The main difficulty resides in the inevitability of cultural diversity and variety of correspondent systems of sacred symbols, values, ideals, principles, and so on. Namely the protection of this diversity (‘Everyone has the right ...’) gave to the Declaration of Human Rights an actual well-deserved status of championship in terms of recognition breadth among all other moral and legal doctrines.

This diversity is not so much a mosaic but includes two large poles of attraction, which can be called cultures of freedom and cultures of order.

Cultures of freedom, which are usually, though not entirely correctly, called Western and ‘modern’, include the ideas and practices of liberalism, political and civil rights, hedonism (pursuit of pleasure), and eudemonism (pursuit of happiness); usually they have a progressist orientation. Here governs the principle ‘what I want’ (personal freedom, independence from everyone). Such cultures are comfortable and attractive, they are associated with rather high life quality for wide layers of population (the main stream of international migration is directed to Western countries where cultures of freedom predominate). At the same time such cultures are fraught with consumerism, decay of moral fortitude, anomia (loss of meaning of life), correspondent escapes to alcoholism, drug abuse, and antisocial behavior.

Cultures of order, which are not quite correctly associated with the East, usually are centered around some strict religion or ideology; they are rigouristic, based on spiritual, social and physical coercion; they include ideas and practices of moral duties, obligations, sacrifice and salvation, usually they have a traditionalist (including fundamentalist) orientation. Here governs the principle ‘To what should I obey’ (general order which is obligatory for everyone). Moral fortitude and ability to endure hardship are cultivated. At the same time, such cultures are often accompanied by extreme intolerance toward anything alien and new. Here one can meet rigid morals, even cruelty, fanaticism and a penchant for extreme forms of aggression (terrorism, ethnic cleansing, revolutionary violence, ‘holy wars’, including, by the way , wars for “export of democracy and freedom’).

The majority of both Western and Eastern cultures are located between these poles and combine elements of freedom and elements of order in various proportions. Any general ethical idea will be attacked from all sides: either as an undue imposition of norms and goals, as impermissible restriction of freedom, or as different from rules and norms of some culture of order.

As we can see, the difficulties are quite significant, and it is quite intriguing if and how it is possible to overcome them by means of philosophical reasoning. We should address now to philosophical theory of values, i.e. axiology.

 

Constructive axiology:
Diversity of Ethos Values and Necessity for Values of General Significance

Values are conceptually rationalized normative foundations of consciousness and behavior acts of intelligent beings (humans).

The main bulk of human values are ethos values, they belong to a concrete ethos, i.e. to a community which reproduces itself in generations and obtains particular religion, culture, beliefs and so on. Ethnoses, nations, castes, faith-based, professional and other communities with high levels of self-consciousness, all sorts of stable groups with their subcultures are covered here by the generic concept of ethos.

Recognition of equality among all varieties of ethos value systems is the basis of the value relativism (quiete close to multiculturalism), which is characteristic for the cultures of freedom. There are well-known dangers of this doctrine: lack of moral grounds to oppose such activities as genocide, terrorism, torture, extrajudicial killings, rape, abuse of minors, cannibalism and so on. Some ethos groups can declare such acts as relevant to their value system and so reject any bans as not absolute, but based only on some other equal value systems. The classic response to the value relativism always slipped to claiming this or that value system as supreme, absolute and universally normative (mandatory for all), i.e. adoption of one or another version of the value dogmatism which is characteristic for the cultures of order.

The ethical concept of constructive axiology is an attempt to sugges the via media: defend of the regulatory universality (the interactive priority) for a definite range of values combined with rejection of claims to their highest absolute status [Rozov 1990; Rozov 1998, section 2.1).

Values of general significance (minimal universal norms, thin moral code) are conceptual expression of the main conditions that must be fulfilled to preserve the ability of all people (individuals, groups, communities) to implement their ethos values (culturally specific, thick moral codes) [5].

Axiological analysis allows to identify two classes of values of general significance (VGS): cardinal values that mean primary conditions realization of any values (thus, human life, health, dignity, fundamental rights and individual freedoms belong to cardinal values) and subcardinal values that refer to conditions necessary for implementation of these primary conditions (forms of social protection, political legal norms to protect the individual and basic civil rights, normal environmental habitat needed to maintain health, international standards for peace and security, etc.).

There is an important and subtle point: one should not confuse interactive priority (minimal universality, general significance) of values in the thin code and supremacy of highest values in various thick codes. No self-respecting culture, religion or national ideology will recognize any value higher than its own sacred symbols. Debates of this kind will never lead to agreement, in contrast they are fraught with alienation, violence up to the massive bloodshed and wars.

At the same time, adherents of different ethos value systems (thick codes) must interact, negotiate about rules of exchange, communication, cooperation, dispute resolution, including such sharp issues as territorial conflicts. To do this, some kind of common platform is always need. Adoption of any local, specific value system (f.e. liberal Western values which belong to cultures of freedom) as such platform will certainly undermine beliefs and insult followers of other systems (especially which belong to cultures of order). In this regard, values of general significance (the thin code) are essential, because they are formulated as the necessary conditions for implementation by various communities their various systems of values and interests (their thick codes).

 

From Universal Human Needs
to the Idea of Global Trial

The naïve and hopeless approach in thinking about real historical dynamics and direction of social evolution is a humanitarian starry-eyed idealism, i.e. the idea that history is driven by some ideal values. Alas, the real history is mostly determined by conflict and dominance while the major factor of dominance within a society and between societies is efficiency of social structures and regimes[6].

Is there in such a gloomy, almost Machiavellian, vision of history some place for values, especially for values of general significance (the thin code)? Let us take a roundabout approach to values through those human needs that underly the ongoing growth of regimes’ efficiency in history.

Let us consider the following questions: Are there and what are universal needs characteristic for human nature? How do they relate with processes of emerging (taking shape), constructing and trial? And how can it help us to make more clear the problem of the global trial?

The answer to the first question seems to be very complicate because of tremendous variety of human goals and (ethos) values. Nevertheless we can abstract from intermediary means and focus our attention on final features of situations in which people feel themselves satisfied and happy; namely these features make people ready to struggle for protection such situations and such way of life. In this aspect the most universal aspirations of people throughout history in all societies and civilizations are security and three types of comfort: dignity (honour, status, prestige, self-respect, i.e. social comfort), well-being (level and quality of life, i.e. material comfort), and meaningfullness of life (feelings of moral, religious, political justification of own life, i.e. spiritual, inner comfort).

If we examine accurately final objectives of any human purposeful activity (processes of constructing), we always can reveal some combination of security and these three types of comfort as the common denominator. Actually, domination, power, and wealth give social and material comfort, sense of security. Freedom, support, solidarity, and rights provide social comfort and security. Satisfaction of religious and aesthetic needs provide spiritual and social comfort, moreover religions of salvation give feelings of security.

Further, it appears that efficient technologies, social forms and cultural patterns are almost never effective for everybody. On the contrary, growth of security for one group frequently leads to infringement of safety for neighbouring groups. Effects of this kind are manifested most acutely in situations of scarce resources, that give rise to conflicts, often burdened with violence: riots or wars which immediately bring down the level of basic human needs of large masses of people. Constructing (including conflictual) activities of various groups clash with each other that leads to historical and evolutionary processes of taking shape.

What is it possible to say in this context about trial processes not for a concrete group in a concrete period but in global social and temporal scale? The answer suggests itself: this global trial is protection of possibilities of people to satisfy their universal needs, at least in those limits that do not violate others possibilities. Thus, we come again to the normative requirement of concern for conditions that allow people accomplish their own (ethos) goals and values. Conceptual explication of these conditions are values of general significance (the thin code).

Note that these values are very close to basic human needs outlined above. Cardinal values of life and health directly correspond to the need for security. Dignity is at the same time a universal social need and a value of general significance becaues permanent humiliation (violation of human dignity) impedes accomplishement of any other values. Such subcardinal values as civil rights and freedoms are general terms for social comfort. Environmental values (purity of atmosphere, water, forest health, nutrition quality, etc.) also express the conditions for health and well-being (material, physical comfort).

Thus, the purpose of the values of general significance (the thin code) is to protect possibilities of people to reach basic human needs. The correspondent value meaning of history is revealed as a trial for mankind's ability to protect values of general significance and basic human needs in emerging conditions. The latter are often characterized by lack of resources, conflicts between different groups and nations, competition, aggression, and violence. That is why we should now leave the celestial realm of abstract values and turn to earthly realities of social world, i.e. to analysis of social groups (in wide sense) and their interaction.

 

From Values to Social Groups:
New Reading of Ferdinand T
önnis’s Opposition

Among all variety of types of social groups (from married couples to societies and civilizations) let us consider two extreme types that are most relevant to the themes under discussion.

First, there are groups in which basic universal needs (security and three types of comfort) are filled best of all in absence of outer conflicts and competition. These goups are fundamental social conditions that should be protected.

Second, there are groups that can be constructed, at least partly. One can expect that namely groups of this type developed in processes of constructing and taking shape in social-evolutionary progress to more effective regimes, social forms and cultural patterns.

Strange as it may seem, the  two types defined by this way almost fully correspond with the classical opposition by Ferdinand Tönnies: Gemeinschaft and Gesellschaft [Tönnies 1957].

Tönnies was both a forerunner and antagonist of modernization theorists. He believed that Gemeinschaft as a traditional, organic, full of intimacy community has been steadily replaced by Gesellschaft as a modern, mechanistic, based on bargaining and contract society which he clearly associated with Marx's capitalist society (the very term ‘capitalism’ was invented by Georg Zimmel).

It should be noted that Gemeinschafts did not disappear over the past 130 years. Kinship, friendship, neighborship and other types of communities with srong mutual support and emotional solidarity still exist. Perhaps now there are fewer large traditional clans. Old patrimonial Gemeinschaft are close to disappearance in modern societies, but multiple professional associations, various circles and clubs emerge and spread not only within one nation, but also at international level.

Happiness can be defined as experience of maximal and reliable social and spiritual comfort (see above) and it is possible to argue that people become happy receiving recognition, support and meaningfullness of life in their Gemeinschafts. Accorfing to the Durkheimian sociological tradition [Warner 1959; Goffman 1967; Scheff 1990; Collins 2004] people gain sustained peace of mind and fullness of life meaning namely in regular direct emotional encounters (interaction rituals) with loved ones, family, peers, i.e. in their Gemeinschafts.

At the same time groups, that can be partly construed and visibly develop in history, belong to the type of Gesellschaft: kingdoms, empires, cities-states (polices), nation-states, international alliances and organizations.

Instead of Tönnies’s formule (replacement of Gemeinschaft by Gesellschaft) I suggest more flexible and potentially more rich principle: Gemeinschafts and Gesellschafts coexist and change throughout all human history, while a (usually larger) Gesellschaft forms social environment for many (usually smaller) Gemeinschafts.

Both types of groups correspond with ethos values and values of general significance. Variety of ethos values systems (thick codes) corresponds to a larger variety of Gemeinschafts where these values born and live.

Values of general significance (the thin code) are, in essence, products of negotiation and conflict resolution, and belong to a formal Gesellschaft. When different Gemeinschafts, especially with different ethos values and competing interests, collide, their needs for security and resources demand some formal treaties and general impersonal rules. Normative and conceptual foundations of these regulatives are minimal values, i.e. VGS, the thin code. After the middle of 20-th century utopian aspirations to transform the entire society, nation-state or the whole world into a single Gemeinschaft were discredited as useless (and even dangerous) whether the basis is a common faith, a common ideology, common principles of social order, etc. Public order and the normal functioning within majority of modern countries are supported primarily through impersonal legal norms and institutions, i.e. by means of Gesellschaft.

Distinction between Gemeinschaft and Gesellschaft is inextricably linked with the divergence between cultures of freedom and cultures of order.

Cultures of freedom (‘Western’ or ‘modern’ ones) have well-developed Gesellschaft-like formal legal systems and give tremendous opportunities to build new Gemeinschaft communities, but these cultures often undermine old, traditional Gemeinschafts based on kinship and religion. The scourge of societies with cultures of freedom is anomie which is a consequence of individualism according to Durkheim, that is falling out of warm, sincere, giving meaning to life traditional Gemeinschafts.

Cultures of order (‘Eastern’, ‘traditional’ ones) from the outside can seem as only rigid, mechanistic and coercive Gesellschafts, but this impression is deceptive. Here, family relationships, including emotional ties among brothers and sisters, uncles, aunts and their nephews, between cousins and cousins, even between distant relatives are usually full of warmth, affection, mutual debt especially in comparison with cultures of freedom. In other words, in cultures of order people as elsewhere gain meanings of life, moral dignity and happiness in their Gemeinschafts, albeit more traditional, more related to kinship and proximity than to individual preferences for leisure (hobbies).

Thus in spite of seemingly incompatible differences we can identify certain universal features of cultures of freedom and cultures of order. Moreover, the most acute forms of aggression (terrorism, war-making) are connected usually with a response to threats (real or imaginary) to the ‘way of life’ and ‘fundamental values’ of people. Actually it means protection of life of (gaining more space for) Gemeinschafts enveloped by this or that conflicting Gesellschaft.

Now the social meaning of history becomes more clear as the following trial: if the mankind in permanent conditions of conflict can come to secure preservation, peaceful coexistence and free development of varieties of Gemeinschafts (in which people acquire moral dignity, meaningfullness life and happiness) through rational construction of Gesellschafts in negotiations and compromises.

 

The Cardinal Reframing:
in
Order to Protect Own Gemeinschaft
to Develop Covering Gesellschaft

Nobody should be persuaded to care about his or her Gemeinschaft. The very prestige of of these communities’ members is largely determined by their contribution into maintaining, success and expanding of their Gemeinschaft, and prestige is always a powerful motivating force.

Much more complicated is the case with formal Gesellschafts, especially the newly established and the remote ones. Here the hardest are effects of ‘free rider’(well known in institutionalism): it is a good idea to use for free public goods (such as security guarantees) provided by a distant formal structure, but that does not mean willingness to spend forces, time and resources (which are always deficient) for its establishment and support.

In this case, any attempts to persuade are of little use. People can experience the needed mental shift only in a situation of challenge, i.e. growth of personal and group discomfort, increasing threats to familiar way of life and to the very existence of their Gemeinschafts. The main and almost universal behavior pattern in this situation is so called group egoism: people do everything to restore favorable conditions for themeselves and their Gemeinschafts (sometimes to an alliance of such communities), albeit at the expense of the social environment. Just in this point a fundamental shift of mental attitudes is required, which I suggest to name the cardinal reframing: in terms of sustainability and friendliness of the future social environment, the optimal response to a challenge (some threat to or a breach of usual way of life and correspondent Gemeinschafts) is not trying to seize somebody elses' resources but to establish and promote such a covering formal Gesellschaft which will ensure the safety and comfort living conditions for own and others’ Gemeinschafts (neighbouring and remote, competing and even hostile ones).

Actually, the cardinal reframing is not a new idea. It is based on the same value (‘the thin code’) principle: to take care of conditions for accomplishing ethos values not only for own communitybut also for other ones (see above). Cardinal reframing is always a transition from ‘a zero-sum game’ to ‘a nonzero-sum game’, it is a principle of not ‘dividing a pie’ but rather a principle of joint efforts to increase it. Every time when representatives of different communities negotiate and agree about common rules for a peaceful and amicable cooperation instead of trying to capture resources from each other, they act in accordance with the cardinal reframing. In other words, it is already there in culture and traditions of all societies, and the question is how and in what directions its scope can be globally expanded.

What covering formal structures should there be?

 

The Optimal Form of Gesellschafts for the Global Future:
International Law and Courts

If we talk only about major standard forms of Gesellschafts, there just a few types: a bureaucratic hierarchy with an undivided authority or a collegiate body at its top, a representative assembly (parliament) and resolving issues by voting, bargaining and deals, law (a system of legal norms, usually elaborated by a representative assembly) and courts ensuring the law. In modern international relations all these forms are present: there is a bureaucratic apparatus with an elected Chairman of the UN and the collegial Security Council, the UN Assembly with the order of universal and equal voting; there are also regular or occasional meetings of ‘G7’, ‘G8’, ‘20’ and so on. There is a system of international law and the International Court of Justice in the Hague. Finally, bilateral, trilateral and multilateral negotiations are constantly maintained between states where the principles of bargaining and compromise dominate.

I hardly need to argue that the most ‘weight’, i.e. real significance for subsequent political, security and economic actions belongs to decisions of the international ‘closed clubs’ - most of all, the ‘G7’, the real leadership of NATO, and the UN Security Council (up to the end of 20-th century). Namely the closure of these ‘clubs’ permanently casts doubt on legitimacy and validity of their decisions.

Bilateral (or multilateral) agreements are also essential but they are certainly not legitimate for all other countries that do not participate in these treaties. The system of voting in the UN is very cumbersome and is questionable in its essence (one country/one vote, regardless of its size and international reputation), that is why no important decisions are accepted in this way.

The International Court of Justice in the Hague, at first, is very limited in its jurisdiction, in particular, issues of territorial disputes, economic and environmental conflicts are not resolved here. Secondly, the Court is recruited mainly from judges of the Western countries, this fact dramatically reduces its legitimacy and authority outside the Euro-Atlantic area. Thirdly, the Court does not have its own enforcement powers, which makes it dependent on the same ‘closed clubs’. Fourthly, the Court in the Hague is too detached from the remote world regions. In the fifth, it is not connected or has a very weak connection (or even estranged relationships) with governments of many countries and their judicial systems.

In spite of all this, it is the international law with international multi-tiered judicial system that has the greatest potential to resolve conflicts and tensions beyond national jurisdiction. Such law can be established and updated through the system of international representation, which provides not only general acceptability of its norms but also its high legitimacy. Courts may have regional jurisdiction and be linked together in an ordered hierarchy. Courts can be specialized and recruited of high-class professionals from different countries on the basis of elections within an international judicial community, with principles of mandatory rotation and broad representation. International courts can have essential powers for maintaining their decisions through financial leverage, when all governments of states-founders are making large deposits (eg, in proportion to their GDPs) and should pay considerable fines for insubordination to internationsl judicial decisions.

Finally, there is an abstract, but significant political and philosophical argument. Of course, the universal formal law, common to all countries and nations (or regional law, that is obligatory to countries founding a regional court) is the essence of the principle of ‘mechanical’ and ‘alienated’ Gesellschaft. Most likely, it will be based on ‘minimal’ values of general significance (the thin code): protecting life, health, rights and freedoms of individuals and communities, especially those enshrined in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights with further additions and refinements. At the same time, international law, in drafting and approval of which will be involved representatives of different cultures, including opposite to each other, thereby will provide opportunities for protection and development of variety of Gemeinschafts, respectively, of diverse systems of ethos values (thick codes) that give meaning to life and the moral dignity to members of these communities. This factor attaches to the international legal and judicial system high civilizational status of response to a challenge, i.e. an effort to pass the global trial, the value and social content of which was explicated above.

 

What Does the Multilevelness of the Legal and Judicial System Mean?

Currently, almost everywhere, national legislations are elaborated and national judicial systems operate. In federal states, there is also jurisdiction of individual states and territories. Local governments, local and scattered ethnic groups, individuals, usually completely subordinate to national law and do not even have a destination for their appeals because at the level of world regions there are no international courts (except Europe with the Strasbourg Court). Problems and weaknesses of the only international court at the global level (the Hague Court of Justice) have already been noted above.

The multilevelness of international legal system means, first of all, filling the main ‘void’: the establishment of new specialized courts at the global and regional levels, as well as building them into regular relationships among themselves and with lower levels: national and provincial legal/judicial systems.

It is possible to make a sketch of such multilevel system for the five most important areas of international conflicts and cooperation: geopolitics, geo-economics, geoculture, environment and domestic policy. For brevity, we consider in each area only the most obvious and typical conflicts that urgently need invention of reasonable, compromise and effective rules of international law and effective resolution at the regional and global levels.

 

The Multi-level Legal Alternative

 

IN GEOPOLITICS

The enwided understanding of geopolitics involves not only issues of military and political power in the territories, respectively, of war and peace, collapse and consolidation of states, but also such topics as (non)proliferation of mass destruction weapons and international arms trade.

The most common forms of conflicts are associated with a well-known contradiction between the principle of peoples’ right of self-determination and the principle of state integrity, also between the right of sovereign states to develop their military power and limitations made by international organizations and world hegemonies.

Unfortunately, there is no not only practice but even ideas of judicial resolution of most acute international conflicts which are prone to military activities and mass violence. The situation will changed radically only after appearance of specialized courts in each major world region on security issues, border demarcation, separatism (self-determination of nations), the location of military bases and major military operations, especially outside own borders, conflicts of arms and drug trafficking, etc.

On one hand, such regional courts can be effective only if they are organized and supported by leading countries of a world region. On the other hand, these courts should not be transformed into tools of regional unfair hegemony and expansion. That is why they must be built in a united global judicial system headed by a correspondent specialized international court under UN auspices (probably, reformed and strenghthed Internation Court of Justice in the Haague). Such system will be more sencitive to regional specifics, international legal and judicial system will not be perceived in the world as an instrument of Western powers for revenge ‘delinquent’ countries and national leaders.

The main obstacle on this way should be noted: it is extremely difficult for ruling national elites to deliever their sovereign powers, especially in military and geopolitical areas, to any outer organizations, even to regional courts that these national elites themselves had created. Actually, the most institutionalized and traditionally sacred form of group egoism is presented by so called ‘national interests’ (usually reduced to interests of national ruling elites). A difficult task restrict this egoism in favour of new regional and global judicial system as a covering formal organization (Gesellschaft) is the same cardinal reframing necessity of which was stated above.

The general principle of law in this area is to deliever security guarantees and fair consideration of demands to each country and side in a conflict in exchange of restrictions recognition and subordination to judicial decisions. It is a multilateral legal coherence of such restrictions at the regional and global levels that provides reliable security and opens the way for step by step peaceful resolution of the most acute conflicts including territorial and ethnic ones.

 

IN GEO-ECONOMICS

Geo-economics includes all processes of production, exchange and distribution that cross political boundaries[7]. The main problems in this area are periodical crises, as well as a dangerously growing gap in economic development and welfare between various countries and various world regions. Conflicts are generated by opposing geo-economic interests of sovereign states, of international organizations (such as the WTO and the development banks) and of multinational companies.

The main megatrend which generates economic crises can be designated as a permanent backlog of development of institutions and practices ensuring economic responsibility from the growth of speed, density and extent of economic interactions. It is an obvious need to establish systems of rules at every level (global, regional, national and local), which would ‘have enough time’ to maintain economic responsibility in terms of this growth, also to provide control over compliance of these rules in accordance with international agreements, to organize necessary institutions: legislature and courts.

The best principle in this area is the contract law. Delayed negative consequences of economic actions will receive authorship (which is now missing), if these actions will be performed on the basis of contracts. Each potentially dangerous economic action (giving loans, issuance of shares, securities, derivatives, etc.) must include correspondent commitment inscribed in these contracts. It is through these commitments the possible victims of economic damage can go to court with lawsuits.

Again, the main legal principle in this area is a multilateral legal coherence of economic actors through taking contractual obligations that means definite restriction of freedom of economic actions fraught with injury to other parties.

 

IN GEOCULTURE

Geoculture includes the processes of production, exchange, distribution and consumption of cultural patterns (in literature, art, philosophy, science, religion, ideology, social media, etc.) that cross political boundaries. Namely in this area, conflicts between cultures of freedom and cultures of the order reach extreme degrees. Obvious examples are scandals around the novels of Salman Rushdie, cartoons in the Danish magazine. In both cases the Western principle of freedom of speech and deep offend of Muslims by unflattering images of the Prophet Mohammad entered to clinch[8].

Despite the ‘sexual revolution’ the struggle is simmering and probably will never stop about the demonstration of eroticism in the media and advertising, about prostitution, about penetration of homosexuality in army and education, etc.

In all these areas of legal principles should always be mutually acceptable and, therefore, should form a compromise that requires concessions and self-restraint from all parties of such conflicts. Defenders of free speech and creative self-expression will likely have to agree to a limited, marked by warnings order for distribution of conflictual products (just as ‘adult magazines’ are usually sold). Defenders of strict moral and religious rules have to contend with such enclave existence of disturbing phenomena and practices. Inevitable conflicts at the borders generated by ideals of freedom and ideals moral order (as well as ambition and intransigence) on both sides must be resolved just in the courts.

 

IN ECOLOGY

At the international level main ecological conflicts occur between contaminants and pollutants (especially when one country occupies an area upstream of a great river, and another is located below). Also there are conflicts between interests of local people and polluting multinational companies which often bribe officials and reconcile a central government (which is usually located remotely from this area) with their damaging activities.

Here there is probably one of the biggest gaps between the high level of legal protection of environment at the national level in developed countries (such as Germany, France, UK, USA) and the extreme weakness of international environmental law, not to mention weakness (absence) of effective international environmental courts in most regions of the world.

Being applied to domestically ecology, these questions are developed in detail on theoretical, legal and economic levels. There are well-known requirements for treatment facilities, permissible concentrations of harmful substances, simple translation of the environmental damage scale to terms of fines, etc. There are no difficult conceptual problems in extension of these norms from national to international level. The problem is only in political will of national govenments, especially of regional leaders, to establish such law and courts in their areas.

 

IN DOMESTIC POLICY AND HUMAN RIGHTS

From the standpoint of values of general significance (see above), not whole internal politics is purely an internal affair of a sovereign state.

Systematic racial, religious discrimination, ethnic cleansing, tortures and inhumane treatment of prisoners, non-legal repression against political opposition and media: all of this is detrimental to basic human needs and rights, or creates a direct threat to them, and therefore can not remain without attention from the international community.

A well-known problem is an extreme weakness of this community’s possibility to influence somehow an offending state. This problem urgently requires a system of regional courts and the global court at the UN (perhaps the Hague international court to be reformed) which are specialized in protection of fundamental human rights.

Again, the main difficulty is the lack of political will of national governements, especially of regional leaders. Moreover, there is an opposition among supreme authorities of these countries against the very idea of any restrictions from outside. Do not think that this applies only to ‘rogue states’ like North Korea or to remaining authoritarian giants like China or Russia. Quite liberal and democratic governments of United States, France, Italy and the UK will hardly allow happily any intervention of international tribunals in their internal affairs, for example, in relation to the Guantánamo prisoners, illegal immigrants from Mexico or Africa, the Northern Ireland separatist, etc.

How to invent a sufficient motivation for supreme national authorities, how to make the opportunity and the principle of international protection of fundamental human rights generally valid, ho to make it a self-evident norm: this is a difficult but worthy task for intellectuals, for national and international human rights organizations[9].

 

How to Turn an Utopia into a Global Implemented Project
Significance of Historical Dynamics Theories

It is hardly to be hoped that the leaders of major countries suddenly will together build a new international system of courts, moreover, restricting their own power. One should count not on processes of construction but processes of emerging, taking shape (see above).

How new collegial institutions developed at regional and global levels? What are the patterns of evolution of legal and judicial systems? What conditions led to the flowering, decline or inhibition of these structures? All these questions belong to historical macrosociology or theoretical history [Mann 1987, 1983; Collins 1999; Rozov 1997; 2002; 2009].

Some of historical patterns and principles are clear right now:

·                 New collegial institution, especially a judicial one, is viable only if it is supported by key interested centers of power;

·                 Only a serious crisis would force ruling elites to seek new answers;

·                 Failure and discredit of former approaches opens the way for new ones;

·                 New international legal institutions will grow most successfully only in world regions with already strong legal traditions and the approximate parity of the founders (the undisputed leader in both criteria is the European Union).

However, much more questions remain unclear, that requires serious theoretical study, respectively, some new large-scale research programs in the field of historical macrosociology.

 

Instead of Conclusion:
the Trial for the Human Race Outlined by Immanuel Kant
Is to Be Passed Yet

Let us return to Kant's thought as expressed in the epigraph to this paper: the main challenge (test, trial) for the human race to be worthy for life and well-being is to achieve universal legal civil society.

It is known that the international projects of ‘the Holy Alliance’ and ‘the Concert of Europe’ in the 19-th century, the League of Nations and the UN in the 20-th century relied to a greater or lesser extent on the old ideas of perpetual peace by Abbe de Saint-Pierre, Jean-Jacques Rousseau, and in particular Immanuel Kant. However, almost no one says that the global problem posed by Kant, is by no means complete yet.

The formula ‘to achieve universal legal civil society’ (‘die Erreichung einer allgemein das Recht verwaltenden bürgerlichen Gesellschaft’) is rather close to the categorical imperative as a key principle of Kant's ethics: to treat everyone not only as a means but as a goal.

Thanks to the institution of citizenship, each nation-state protects more or less its citizens, and yet remains almost completely indifferent to non-citizens, to strangers, and has no special moral and legal obligations to other states with their citizens, especially to the weaker and somehow annoying countries. Kant's appeal to create a union of states on a global scale through a series of attempts (see above), finally, is embodied in United Nations, which protects sometimes more, sometimes less effectively small and weak states from oppression and aggression. However, the universal legal and civil principles, albeit abstractly declared in the Declaration of Human Rights, still are not institutionalized at the regional and global level, and virtually have no effect beyond the developed legal societies.

The multi-level legal and judicial system as a new stage of development of the global Gesellschaft based on values of general significance should be just an embodiment of this brave humanist idea by Immanuel Kant.

Perhaps the ultimate trial for man and mankind is to understand what is it. On understanding of it largely depends what will be the human Future.

 

Literature

Baaz, Mikael. Human Rights or Human Wrongs? Towards a “Thin” Universal Code of International Human Rights for the Twenty-First Century. CERGU Centre for European Research, Goteborg University, Sweden Working Papers Series, Nr 06:2002

Collins Randall. Macrohistory: Essays in Sociology of the Long Run. Stanford Univ. Press, 1999.

Collins Randall. Interaction Ritual Chains. Princeton & Oxford. Princeton University Press. 2004.

Duner, Bertil. The Global Human Rights Regime. Lund: Studentlitteratur, 2002.

Dunne, Tim and Nicholas J. Wheeler. Introduction: Human Rights and the Fifty Years’ Crisis. In: Dunne, Tim and Nicholas J. Wheeler (eds.): Human Rights in Global Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999.

Goffman, Erving. Interaction Ritual. New York: Doubleday, 1967.

Goldstone, Jack. Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World. Berkeley: Univ. of California Press, 1991.

Kant, Immanuel. Idea of Universal History from a Cosmopolitan Point of View. In: P. Gardiner (ed.) Theories of History, p.22-34, New York: Free Press. First published 1784.

Luttwak E. From Geopolitics to Geo-Economics: Logic of Conflict: Grammar of Commerce // The National Interest. 1990, No 20.

Mann, Michael. The Sources of Social Power. Vol. I: A History of Power from the Beginning to A.D.1760, Cambridge Univ. Press, 1987. Vol. II: The Rise of Classes and Nation-States, 1760-1914. Cambridge Univ. Press, 1993.

Menon P.K. The International Personality of Individuals in International Law: A Broadening of the Traditional Doctrine // J. of International Law and Policy, 1992, vol.151.

Parekh, Bhikhu. Non-ethnocentric Universalism. In: Dunne, Tim and Nicholas J. Wheeler (eds.) Human Rights in Global Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999.

Rawls, John. A Theory of Justice. Oxford: Oxford University Press.1971.

Rozov, Nikolai S. Constructive Axiology and Intellectual Culture in the Future // Studia Humanistica. Vol. 1. N 2, Praha, 1990. P. 55-72.

Rozov, Nikolai S. An Apologia for Theoretical History // History and Theory, 1997. Vol. 36, N 3.

Rozov, Nikolai S. Istoricheskaya Makrosotsiologiya: Metodologia i Metody (Historical Macrosociology: Methodology and Methods). Textbook. Novosibirsk: Novosibirsk State University, 2009.

Rozov, Nikolai S. Filosofia i Teoria Iistorii (Philosophy and theory of history. Book 1. Prolegomena) Moscow: Logos, 2002.

Rozov, Nikolai S. Tsennosti v Problemnom Mire: Filosofskie Osnovania I Sotsialnye Prilozhenia Konstruktivnoi Aksiologii (Values in Problematic World: Philosophical Foundations and Social Applications of Constructive Axiology) Novosibirsk: Novosibirsk State University, 1998. English Summary 30 p.

Scheff, Thomas. Microsociology: Discource, Emotion and Social Structure. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1990.

Skocpol, Theda. States and Social Revolutions. New York: Cambridge Univ. Press, 1979.

Smith, Will and Robert Fine. Kantian Cosmopolitanism Today: John Rawls and Jurgen Habermas on Immanuel Kant’s Foedus Pacificum // King’s College Law Journal, 15, 1, 2004, pp. 5-22.

Toennies, Ferdinand. Community and Society. Trans. By Ch.Loomis. New York: Harper. 1957. First published 1887.

Walzer, Michael. Thick and Thin: Moral Argument at Home and Abroad. Notre Dame: University of Notre Dame Press, 1994.

Warbrick C. and S.Tierney (eds.) Towards an International Legal Community& The Sovereignty of States and the Sovereignty of International Law. British Institute for International and Comparative Law, 2006.

Warner, W. Lloyd. The Living and the Dead. New Heaven: Yale University Press, 1959.

Zyl Smit D. van. Punishment and Human Rights in International Criminal Law // Human Rights Law Review, 2002, No 2.



[1] All other judgments about the end of the history are either anticipations of some new historical epoch, drawn with various ratios of realism, esoteric or technical fantasy (an epoch of Superman by Nietzsche, Supermanhood according to Vladimir Solovyov, civilization of Kibergs in science fiction, etc..), or fully mystical views not correlated with any realistic perception of history (Judgement in the Bible, "Omega Point" by Teyar de Chardin, and analogues).

[2] It is clear that people can say nothing about this just because according to fixed conditions of our task there will be no people at all on Earth or beyond it. That is why our thinking about "what can be said” refers to either representatives of extraterrestrial intelligence (quite weird), or to an artificially constructed ideal position of the external observer, similar to Kant's transcendental subject. We prefer the second option, since this subject should obtain not only curiosity and philosophical mood but also absolute cognitive abilities that help him to reveal the causes of the global tragedy.

[3] Who sets trials to individuals, societies, and the whole humanity? Here a religious person will think about God. Immanuel Kant when meditating on such issues told about “the plan of Nature” [Kant 1959]. A liberal or atheist can consider any decision about trials to be the matter of exclusively personal freedom. If not to get stuck in the differences between basic stereotypes of this kind (which are sacred for each group and therefore incompatible) it is better to use a neutral vocabulary of common problems and collective action, success and failure, constructing and emerging, etc.

[4] The extent of society success can be measured by various criteria, while the most clear and strong one is the direction of migration flows: whether people flee from a given country or seek to visit it and live in it.

[5] My distinction between ethos values and values of general significance (VGS) develops the long-standing coneption of minimum universalism connected with such names as Hugo Grotius. In recent decades John Rawls, Michael Walzer, Mikael Baaz, Bhikhu Parekh et al. maintain the same basic idea but use various terminologies [Rawls 1971; Walzer 1994; Baaz 2002]. Thus Walzer and Baaz make distinction between thick (rich and culturally specific) and thin (minimal universal) moral codes. “The universal values constitute a kind of “floor” — an irreducible minimum — which no chosen way of life can cross and still claim to be good or even tolerated by others. When a society meets the basic principles, it is (more or less) free to organise its own way of life, just the way it considers being the best one” [Parekh 1999].

[6] This Kantian idea is strongly supported by neoweberian historical macrosociology of last decades, see: [Skocpol 1979; Mann 1987, 1983; Goldstone 1991; Collins 1999; et al.].

[7] It means that geo-economics does not replace geopolitics (as in [Luttwak 1990]) but always coexists with it.

[8] Sometimes, the Western culture of freedom and Eastern culture of order are paradoxically reversed. For example, the French law prohibiting wearing of veils in schools is, generally speaking, a repressive rule of compulsory order. At the same time, Muslim women living in France are fighting for freedom to follow their personal way to dress according their religious and ethnic customs.

[9] See also: [Menon 1992; Dunne and Wheeler 1999; Duner 2002; ].