Global Crisis in the Context of World Development Megatrends
and Prospects of the Russian Policy

 

Nikolai S. Rozov

The nature of a global economic crisis is considered as one in a series of financial crises, in the context of Kondratieffs’ cycles and the world-system paradigm. The core megatrend generating crises is designated as a permanent backlog of development of institutes and practices of maintenance of the economic responsibility from growth of speed, density and scales of economic interactions and processes. Prospects of expansion and overcoming of the global crisis are presented by means of the concept of three Megatrends of world development (I – Westernisation—Globalization; II – Protest—Isolationism; III - Partnership on the democratic and humanistic basis). Key requirements to the future institutes and practices of maintenance of the economic responsibility at different levels are formulated. Probable forks and scenarios of the Russian political future are presented in the context of three crises: 1) the world economic crisis; 2) the hidden systemic crisis growing in Russia; and 3) the expected socio-political crisis.

Full text in Russian